Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 91727.852719 96732.813484 101732.643846 107098.678345 112691.181253 118344.380732 124487.320944
2025-02-02 84678.985747 92441.043845 100407.265695 109183.323260 118569.176713 128295.320114 139124.916571
2025-02-09 78975.279686 88611.679848 98714.224662 110072.880048 122465.267697 135552.438217 150395.241930
2025-02-16 73879.906615 84848.083484 96555.457732 109945.057464 124796.896838 140727.823039 159069.704847
2025-02-23 70149.560412 82219.946857 95306.895765 110496.428861 127585.267691 146160.425460 167820.312928
2025-03-02 66680.602981 79618.530826 93846.904632 110582.350713 129651.274989 150625.191521 175359.294201
2025-03-09 64439.306896 78239.324015 93610.578761 111906.013467 132988.729173 156420.564089 184327.721811
2025-03-16 61329.741531 75687.308382 91879.035476 111373.186422 134081.895989 159573.687240 190221.214711
2025-03-23 59804.507074 74887.100184 92085.214720 113002.285725 137602.271775 165459.594161 199227.441010
2025-03-30 58053.661155 73724.398783 91784.171267 113964.105290 140288.093723 170346.425830 207066.886955
2025-04-06 56057.387002 72175.803415 90945.242329 114215.733286 142078.456914 174149.411362 213622.164582
2025-04-13 54068.932977 70553.309718 89942.969277 114202.790378 143497.084839 177475.095979 219593.927052
2025-04-20 53243.948868 70348.832373 90657.425974 116282.578938 147468.089798 183895.133115 229345.178900
2025-04-27 52411.740061 70099.470305 91292.638430 118254.422020 151315.584566 190196.623790 239013.760411
2025-05-04 51097.453306 69193.068712 91076.189959 119147.122441 153830.662795 194897.786528 246783.376781
2025-05-11 49356.434463 67684.330113 90057.512292 118998.637130 155032.255893 197990.392892 252606.660185
2025-05-18 48068.133855 66705.813954 89658.806291 119583.731825 157109.206156 202130.744410 259703.984172
2025-05-25 46623.241133 65475.414642 88898.134114 119674.737518 158542.401693 205467.731558 265820.239082
2025-06-01 45857.670076 65099.409068 89197.632853 121085.456783 161613.513376 210819.280493 274429.517372
2025-06-08 44253.417228 63570.521234 87975.289450 120517.531506 162164.308900 213037.273714 279167.601222
2025-06-15 43730.267289 63454.933460 88559.904487 122253.747772 165626.348889 218879.383557 288425.387939
2025-06-22 42932.037958 62943.237906 88606.662361 123278.668780 168175.645160 223587.208119 296292.498470
2025-06-29 41856.079134 62023.517431 88090.060118 123546.787922 169739.262737 227052.700654 302613.753941